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Textiles Sector & Cotton is driven by demand

15 September 2022, Mumbai:

Considering the ongoing inflation around the world especially red hot inflation in the US world's biggest economy, reading into the trade data & given that inflationary/cost pressures persist. It is evident that inflation affects different stakeholders in a different fashion. 

But on the whole, it is anecdotal that inflation bites the common man more than anybody else thus global demand will drive the cotton and textile sectors. The impending inflation with very sticky consumer price index (CPI) values in textile importing countries such as the USA, the EU, and the UK underscores the vitality of demand as a determinant.

Supply shock

This year has so far seen unusual volatility in cotton prices owing to the tight supply situation. Reading into the global cotton, supply & availability dynamics fundamental of cotton is not bullish at this juncture. The semblance is Cotton will be in tight supply due to drought in West Texas, unexpected floods disaster in Pakistan, and several other factors. The textile balance of the sector for once has shifted heavily on the supply side of the equation. However, it is consumers' end products demand only to drive the textiles industry.

A deep dive into the sector dwells on the volatility in the price of MCU-5 cotton per candy (356 kg) from December 2021 to September 2022. While at the same time price peaked on May 22, though it has started to moderate. 

Everybody knows inflation was fueled by the Russia @ War (Russian invasion of Ukraine), having sustainably elevated fuel/oil prices, and slackened consumption of non-discrete/non-essentials.

Dwelling on the price situation of MCU-5 cotton, which is spun into fine counts used in home textiles, knowing that these textiles had many takers during the pandemic period wherein the demand aggregate was peaking. The cotton price situation/price dynamics since May 2022 are reflective that the textiles demand presently is moderating, factoring in high prices for essential products like groceries. 

The caveat here is, on one hand, we have to ensure supply security & on the other hand price competitiveness to tackle the double whammy of falling demand & cost pressures.

The very recent Consumer Price Index number released by the United States Bureau of Labor Statistics showed an increase of 8.3% over last year, indicating that inflation continues to be red-hot & sticky. This is very likely shall lead to the Federal Reserve Bank in the US to yet again raise the interest rates to rein in inflation. Again steep rise in interest rates will strengthen the US dollar, which has a domino effect on the cost of imported goods traded in the dollar. Inflation is also at a steep high at 9.9% in the UK.

Thus given geopolitics & prevalent macroeconomic situation it will surely dampen global consumer confidence/buying power, influencing & hurting the purchase of non-essential/non-discreet articles.

Festivity & fervour

“Normally during the present times with the arrival of the festive season in India, we see high demand for yarns. But the demand is not there,” stated Velmurugan Shanmugam, GM of Aruppukkottai-based Jayalakshmi Textiles, India. On June 25th in a meeting hosted by the Textile Association-South India Unit in Coimbatore, attended by about 720 people from the textile sector, Seshadri Ramkumar, Professor articulated the importance of analyzing the holistic picture of supply and demand, macroeconomic and geo-political scenarios in planning ahead for the textile sector. 

“If we see demand moderation, there is a potential for the cotton market to move down despite tight supply,” stated Shawn Wade, Director of Policy Analysis and Research of Lubbock-based Plains Cotton Growers, Inc.

Given the tricky unprecedented high inflationary situation the global economy is staring at, stressful & unpredictable power situations in the EU and the UK are going to add to the economic woes. To add fuel to the fire is the ongoing energy crisis/supply challenges arising out of brewing diplomatic tension between Russia & Europe, as inflation is peaking so it will only be prudent for the textile sector to factor in for moderated demand in the coming months.

Caveat Emptor et Venditor!

Therefore, it is imperative that Textiles Sector & Cotton is driven by demand in turn determining the price situation of raw materials, while supply constraints, availability of resources stay and all the above has to be factored in by the industry to build near-term prognosis. 

(CREDITS: Seshadri Ramkumar, Professor, Texas Tech University, USA)

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Textile industry & its water footprints

15 September 2022, Mumbai:

The textile and fashion industry arguably is one of the water's thirstiest sectors as its long supply chain is regarded to be the heaviest water consumer from fibre production to finished product. A deep dive into water shows that it is used extensively by the textile industry during all of its many processes, including size, desizing, mercerizing, scouring, bleaching, printing, and finishing. The consumption of considerable volumes of "virtual water," or water that cannot be utilized for anything else owing to evaporation or pollution, is sometimes overlooked in water footprint estimates, in addition to processing.  

The industry's environmental effect, however, is not only dependent on the amount of water it uses. A wide range of contaminants that impair external water resources can also be found in the effluent from the textile manufacturing process. Numerous factors, including the kind of facility, as well as the technologies, processes, fibers, and chemicals employed, affect the kind and quantity of pollutants produced. For example, processing cotton and wool fibers use more water compared to manufacturing nylon and polyester materials.

Environmental impact

But the industry's impact on the environment is not only a function of how much water it consumes. The wastewater from the textile production process also contains a variety of toxins that harm external water resources. The kind and quantity of pollutants generated are influenced by a wide range of variables, including the type of facility, as well as the technologies, processes, fibers, and chemicals used. For instance, as compared to the production of nylon and polyester materials, the processing of cotton and wool fibers needs more water.

Water Footprint and how to calculate it

As previously stated, a water footprint calculation must take into account virtual water or the entire amount of water consumed during all manufacturing processes. Virtual water either evaporates or gets too contaminated to be used by humans throughout the textile preparation process. For example, generating a kilo of cotton in India uses an average of 22,500 L (or 6,000 gallons) of water, however, this significant water use for fiber production is sometimes overlooked when calculating the water footprint of the textile processing industry. 

Understanding the LCA 

Given rising water costs, regulatory constraints, demand from other businesses and people, and regulatory pressures, the textile industry is taking considerable steps toward sustainability. Although there are effective biological and chemical methods for processing textile effluent, the chemicals employed in chemical treatment are sometimes pricy and harmful to the environment. However, certain bacteria utilized in biological treatment cooperate to safely digest additional substances and complex organic wastes, lowering COD, BOD, and nitrogen levels in the process. 

Decentralized wastewater treatment makes sense for the textile sector since it puts treatment closer to the place of production. Additionally, when It Comes To Water Security, Businesses Cannot Choose To Wait thus treating textile effluent at the point of origin is a business imperative, before it is diluted in sewers besides greatly boosts efficiency. It is nothing to frown upon that these fees can be decreased in regions where municipal facilities charge extra for excessively dirty water. 

Water crisis could trigger World War III, says expert

The water footprint is one of the reliable metrics for quantifying water consumption. Water is necessary for life, as said, but it is also the most endangered critical resource on the planet. 

The article highlights the water footprint of the textile and fashion industry from fiber to fashion which is very regrettable. The good bit is to quell the concern Greenpeace is fighting for an end to the industry's use of dangerous, persistent, and hormone-disrupting chemicals in our water, and the textile industry is supporting changes in the use of eco-friendly chemicals and water conservation.

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